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Hi Efrem, the problem with john’s analysis is that he presumed (incorrectly) the Ukrainians wouldn’t fight in a unitary way, because of cultural differences between east and west in the country. He also comes close to the intellectual sin of blaming the victim. Yes, surely what is happening here is a tragedy; but this is primarily and overwhelmingly putin’s fault, not ours.

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Hi John, thanks for the update and the summary of the changes that Russia’s aggression has insisted in Europe. I would be interested in getting your perspective on Germany’s actions so far. At the outset Germany looked as the big blocker to any meaningful action from the west, but that has changed now and they have certainly done more than I ever expected, but what’s your take on this? Regards, Gustaf

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Mar 11, 2022·edited Mar 11, 2022

Thank you for the analysis, Dr. Hulsman. Having said that, I watched a clip of a lecture given by John Mearsheimer of the University of Chicago, predicting that Ukraine's hard line toward Russia would get their country wrecked. With the two year time frame Putin has for this, it is an utter tragedy. Western leaders cynically sit back congratulating themselves while Ukraine gets destroyed. Unbelievable.

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