10 Comments
User's avatar
John Hulsman's avatar

Actually, less than you'd think (hence their better record). They are the regional experts, not Langley and intell (in this Lawrencium fashion) tends to work this way

Expand full comment
John Hulsman's avatar

Agree about the territory Erik; I'd say their sing with the weaker of the two Muslim blocs (the Sunni, led by Saudi) over the revolutionary Shia block (led by Iran), which wants to overrun the very favourable balance of power (for Israel) in the region, makes perfect realist sense.

Expand full comment
John Hulsman's avatar

Yes, if he outright 'wins' the war, he would be immeasurably politically bolstered and might survive the huge failure of last October. Short of this (as in 1973) and he's done

Expand full comment
John Hulsman's avatar

Good to be back, Terri! Yes, I stare at a map about all that we talk about nearly every day! On we go and take care, John

Expand full comment
John Hulsman's avatar

Dear Dianne, that's very kind (though your wink is well warranted; the 2005-08 guys didn't cover themselves in glory!). I'm doing my best to get back if the terms are right; it would be great for realism to actually have a chance. Fondly and thanks as ever for your support, John

Expand full comment
Dianne Carlson's avatar

John, your breath knowledge and understanding, is unmatched. I was on a conference call with a Think Tank in Washington DC this morning and you far surpass what was said on the phone.(an expert form White House 2005-2008:) that's a wink). Get Back to DC.

Absolutely, Israel rolled a seven. And I am on team # Witch, meow.

Expand full comment
Erik Vynckier's avatar

On another note, a Netanyahu victorious in war is of course off limits for any political lawsuit on corruption or whatever.

Expand full comment
Erik Vynckier's avatar

How much of the Mossad intelligence is CIA intelligence?

Expand full comment
Terri's avatar

Welcome home John! I am looking for a good world map for my office.

Expand full comment
Erik Vynckier's avatar

The overriding strategy of Israel is: split the Muslims.

This, of course, requires a lot of theatre and picking on (ultimately irrelevant) particular differences which have to be magnified and played up.

In the meantime, acquire territory (for good).

Expand full comment